Mr Crudley
Glock in your sock
First it was the unholy rule of putting onions on the Bunnings sausage sandwich first and now we have this......Fuck, now Bunnings is implicated.
First it was the unholy rule of putting onions on the Bunnings sausage sandwich first and now we have this......Fuck, now Bunnings is implicated.
I read a lot of economic modeling on old mate covid, cjoye over at afr seems to think he is all over it but has failed miserably.. l’m no expert on this stuff, from my observation it seems that economic style modeling is excellent once the parameters/inputs are set but shithouse when estimating future projections when factoring in human behaviour.. Maybe the epidemiologist are better at predicting? They are obviously skewed to the worse case scenario..Wow an x^6 term. I'm pretty sure they only exist in calculus textbooks.
I did a master in economics, finance and statistics. I also design and run economic models for a living.
If you use the Analysis Toolpak in Excel you would probably get a reasonable OLS formula for that data set. But it would still be a lot less sophisticated and accurate then what the CHO would be using.
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Models are simplifications of real world systems. The more complicated the system, and the higher the degrees of freedom, the harder it is to predict the future. And that's assuming you understand the system you are modelling - a lot of clever people misunderstood the US housing and credit markets in the GFC.I read a lot of economic modeling on old mate covid, cjoye over at afr seems to think he is all over it but has failed miserably.. l’m no expert on this stuff, from my observation it seems that economic style modeling is excellent once the parameters/inputs are set but shithouse when estimating future projections when factoring in human behaviour.. Maybe the epidemiologist are better at predicting? They are obviously skewed to the worse case scenario..
What’s the view on how NSW is tracking? Layman view from me they catch 1 case for every 5-10 they miss.. Cases are spread our all over the place, imo not looking particularly promising only because restrictions are minimal..
Possible that’s just from contact tracing that 27yo male who tested positive after sitting near one of those women when dining out. Shows how easy it is to be a super spreader.
I would say so, I wonder how many others have contracted from the male?Possible that’s just from contact tracing that 27yo male who tested positive after sitting near one of those women when dining out. Shows how easy it is to be a super spreader.
I believe his partner and sister in law (?) both work in aged care, which is worrying. Given the number of places these people have been to whilst positive, it would naive to think that the one case of community transmission will be the end of it.I would say so, I wonder how many others have contracted from the male?
The Doctor's surgery and the Bunnings are only a stone's throw away from me and I actually went to the Oxley Bunnings and other shops around the area on Thursday.I believe his partner and sister in law (?) both work in aged care, which is worrying. Given the number of places these people have been to whilst positive, it would naive to think that the one case of community transmission will be the end of it.
At least Cornubia is nowhere near those places on the list, which is where I’m about to go for a ride!
As others have said, the Murdoch landfill wallpapered their front pages with it. ABC News showed them (surprisingly), The Guardian pixellated them.Just curious, Which media outlets initially showed their faces and which did not?
I seem to recall an SBS post about this in my newsfeed that did not have their faces.
I would be completely unsurprised if old mate rupert's media had them full front cover and background image from the get go.
Once one media outlet put the faces up, there would be little reason for other media outlets to avoid showing their faces.
100%. The meedya's duty is to inform, not inflame. But when ad revenues are going down the toilet the incentive to make clickbait crap is strong.We are capable of walking and chewing gum at the same time. We can be pissed off at them and rightly angry at their behaviour while also acknowledging that the reporting of it lands in a particularly fraught cultural context that media outlets should be much more cognisant of.
Difference being those c***s are actively seeking publicity to push their demented agenda.nothing special about them...plenty of dickheads have been outed identified and been the subject of media attention.
Inside wave of COVID-19 deniers who push absurd conspiracy theories
A 'cult' of coronavirus deniers is organising to make life hell for police and shop workers with a series of stunts making a mockery of checkpoints and mandatory mask laws in Melbourne.www.dailymail.co.uk
You have nice trails, what do you want from us.Half of NSW seems to be in Canberra this weekend.
...this is doing the rounds on facebook, reddit etc....best not read too much into it imo. there will be restrictions but this is all speculative atm...wait until tomorrow.Received this from a mate.
“Here’s the inside word.. Better stock up on dunny paper again..
Possibly. Just sayin is all....this is doing the rounds on facebook, reddit etc....best not read too much into it imo. there will be restrictions but this is all speculative atm...wait until tomorrow.
no worries....just trying to reassure you its baseless rumour. its literally being copy & pasted everywhere so i'd disregard it...Possibly. Just sayin is all.