About 6 months of settling in and setting up an agenda/vision and into an election would be my guess. Referendum on republic within 2 years perhaps. Will be interesting to see what substance he offers besides not being Tony.Can't say I'm disappointed to see Tones offed, and I reckon Shorten is fucked now (not a bad thing). Smartest play from him I reckon would be to get up in QT tomorrow and call a truce with Turnbull since both parties are now guilty of the long knives. That'd get a lot of public credit, and steal Turnbull's bring back the reasoned debate pitch.
Gotta be short odds on an early election now. Be interesting to see Uncle Rupert's reaction since he hates Turnbull.