COVID-19: who’s going full doomsday prep on this?

That's a nasty cough, off to the nearest COVID test site for you!
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These stats were widely circulated around the media yesterday; up to 20000 cases a day in Victoria if stage 4 wasn't introduced..

That's quite an alarming figure.. Are we that fked? or is something a miss with those projections? Back of a napkin calculations, `6000000 population in Vic works out to be 3333 cases per million people per day (20000/6).. So that would be like Italy (60 million) having 199,980 cases a day at the height (60x3333).. Am I missing something or are these gov projections way off..
 
its likely you're missing something, the modelling they do will be as good as is possible... what it is youre missing i suspect is the amount of dumb fucks in the general population.
 
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