It sucks for all of us that have to buy stuff from overseas for our businesses. Not sure why the AUD is getting so beat up when its a global problem. Given what's happening in the US and the fact that China seems to be coming out the other end of it, you'd think we'd be gaining on the USD.
hit 0.55 this afternoon ... back to 0.57 for Sydney close.
The simple trick is understanding that AUD is considered a risky currency ... and is one of the most traded global currencies. This is very general ... but in good times people love trading Aussie and even holding it for a time ... in bad times people dump it and switch to " safe" currencies eg USD.
So even though the US is getting drilled far harder than us re actual cases and transmissions ... its a safe currency.
Similarly AU is China's hole in the ground, so China doing good, AUD up, China getting drilled AUD gets drilled. They are currently in full drilled mode.
The good news is 0.49 is the historic low ... 0.70 is the historic mean ... just depends how long you can hold out for.
If you can get a USD/AUD forward say at 1.8182 (0.55 equivalent) then it could be a smart trade. Note you have to have USD or be prepared to supply USD at some point. disclaimer: do your research / buyer beware this is a trade not a hedge.
If you want to delve deeper feel free to PM ... I've got some real wack scenarios running that I'm pretty confident with ... but just uncertain on timeframes ... which is the killer right now.
Back to the panic and hoarding.
If anybody needs a Nicolas Vouilloz Tiogra saddle I've been hoarding it for just this occassion ... still in the bag so guaranteed Corona Virus free. Can fit 3 people on it. Just in case your emergency bog roll in the shuttle truck has finished and you need to do a run to IGA ... they will have a 4 pack no sweat.