If Cadel doesn't attack today, I will seriously cry
I will seriously cry if he
does. He has shown, time and time again, that attacking without support is suicidal. He is the most marked man in the peloton, has no team support and has no friends on other teams, so if he goes off on his own, he will be ridden down and crushed yet again.
Cadel does everything really well, but he's not the best at anything and he needs to be smarter about it if he's going to get anywhere near the podium this year.
His best results will come from waiting for one of the other contenders to attack, hanging on to their wheel and then trying to outdo them by as much time as he can if he can get past them in the last couple of kilometres. Contador has already shown this year that a top rider can put as much as 30 seconds per kilometre in to someone else on a hilltop finish and this is Cadel's only option, because a breakaway attempt
will fail.